Huckabee leads Obama in Poll; Brown win good for Obama?
In the the latest Public Policy Polling on the 2012 election, Governor Mike Huckabee now leads President Barack Obama, and does better than any other Republican included in the poll:
45% Huckabee
44% Obama
44% Obama
42% Romney
49% Obama
41% Palin
44% Obama
34% Petraeus
Hooray. But in an interview Huckabee also suggests that Brown's win in Massachusetts could lead to Obama moderating his views, and thus increase his chances of getting reelected.
Obama moderating some of his extreme views? Great. But winning in 2012? Ulp.
45% Huckabee
44% Obama
44% Obama
42% Romney
49% Obama
41% Palin
44% Obama
34% Petraeus
Hooray. But in an interview Huckabee also suggests that Brown's win in Massachusetts could lead to Obama moderating his views, and thus increase his chances of getting reelected.
Obama moderating some of his extreme views? Great. But winning in 2012? Ulp.
2 Comments:
Just a couple of comments:
(1) Presidential polls taken almost 34 months before the presidential election are almost meaningless. They may (or may not) show what would happen if the election were held today but the election is not held today.
(2) With a margin of error of +/- 2.8%, Huckabee and Obama are essentially tied.
Yes, it is a long time before the election (as I've noted elsewhere). But it still gives us a pulse of the moment.
As for the "tie" - true, but it's the first time any Republican has had higher numbers than President Obama since the election. Huckabee has been steadily closing the gap over the last six months. This is a trend.
Will the trend continue? We'll see. But if knuckleheads like me keep pointing out such information, the chance of the trend continuing increases.
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